US National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas Update Storm Chances - Much Colder - Low Wintry Wx Potential 011819
Bottom Line
Isolated strong thunderstorms will be possible this evening into tonight ahead of a strong cold front mainly east of I-35. Colder and windy conditions are expected behind the front late tonight into Saturday with a possibility of a light wintry mix near the Red River. Wind chill values will be in the teens and lower 20s by Sunday morning.
Overview
An upper level storm system will intensify as it moves southeast from Colorado into the Southern Plains Friday night. This will bring increasing chances of showers and a few thunderstorms starting Friday afternoon. The best thunderstorm chances will occur Friday night between 8 pm and midnight as the storm system tracks east along the Red River and a strong arctic cold front enters from the northwest. A few storms could become strong with hail being the primary threat. Storms should exit to the east after midnight as the cold front sweeps through the area.
Temperatures will fall rapidly behind the front, leading to a possible light mix of rain and snow for areas near the Red River late tonight into Saturday morning. There is a low chance flurries could reach as far south as the Metroplex. At this time, little to no accumulation is forecast, with no impacts to travel expected. Winds will increase to 25 to 35 mph with higher gusts behind the front and wind chills will drop into the teens and lower 20s late Saturday night into Sunday morning.
What We Are Certain Of:
• Showers and a few thunderstorms will affect parts of the region late this afternoon into early tonight.
• A strong cold front will bring much colder weather to the region this weekend.
• Windy conditions will develop early Saturday morning and persist through the day.
What We Are Watching (or Are Less Certain Of):
• The potential coverage of thunderstorms this evening. Right now, it appears only a few thunderstorms will develop (generally along/east of the I-35 corridor), limiting the hail/wind threat. However, a low potential exists for increased thunderstorm activity, which would increase the hail threat slightly.
• The potential for a wintry mix on Saturday. Temperatures may not drop below freezing until moisture has already left our area. If temperatures fall faster or moisture lingers longer than expected, the potential for a wintry mix would increase. This scenario appears unlikely at this time.
FAQ
Is severe weather likely? Not at this time, but a couple of strong storms can’t be ruled out across areas along and east of I-35/35E Friday night.
How much rain will I get? Rainfall amounts around 0.25”, with locally higher amounts up to 0.5”, will be possible from the Brazos Valley to northeast Texas.
Will there be impacts to travel? Unlikely, but locations north of the I-20 corridor should continue to monitor the latest forecasts (regarding winter weather potential) today. #dfwwx ... See MoreSee Less
Campbell Field-Corsicana Municipal Airport